The Atlantic hurricane season may not be following its traditional pattern this year. Leading meteorologists are predicting the possibility of three more named storms in Atlantic waters before the year’s end, with activity potentially extending beyond November. This unusual forecast is attributed to sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic basin, which are significantly above normal, averaging 2 to 3°F higher than typical late-fall temperatures.
“We’re expecting a late-season surge in the month of November with another one to three named storms possible in the Atlantic basin,” says Alex DaSilva, AccuWeather‘s lead hurricane expert. “December storms don’t happen very often, but the very warm sea surface temperatures could make it possible this year.”
Current Atlantic Storm Forecast
The Atlantic hurricane season officially spans from June 1 to November 30, covering approximately 97% of tropical storm activity historically. Although storms in December are rare, they have occurred in the past. Notable examples include Hurricane Alice, which formed on December 30, 1954, and Hurricane Otto, which developed in late November 2016 and continued into December.
Bernie Rayno, AccuWeather’s chief on-air meteorologist, warns that new storms could develop as early as this week. Current weather patterns and wind shear suggest that while the Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama coastlines may be spared, Florida and the East Coast should remain vigilant.
Unusually warm waters, currently averaging 81°F instead of the typical 75°F, combined with shifting weather patterns, indicate that this hurricane season may significantly impact travel through the end of the year. These conditions are especially concerning for travelers with plans during this period.
Essential Travel Tips for Hurricane Season
For travelers with upcoming plans in potentially affected areas, here are key preparations to consider:
Transportation Planning
- Register for airline alerts and consider early morning flights
- Review cruise line weather policies and download their mobile apps
- Keep airline and cruise line customer service numbers readily available
- Monitor travel advisory pages for weather waivers
Protection and Insurance
- Purchase comprehensive travel insurance within 14 days of trip deposit
- Ensure coverage includes hurricane protection and trip interruption
- Look for “cancel for any reason” coverage
- Consider hotels with “hurricane guarantees” offering free rescheduling
Safety and Communication
- Monitor the National Hurricane Center (NHC) website for six-hourly updates
- Download the FEMA app for emergency alerts
- Keep digital and physical copies of all travel documents
- Save emergency contacts for your destination
- Track local emergency management social media accounts
Travelers should maintain flexible schedules during this period, particularly when visiting coastal regions. This advisory is issued as coastal communities, especially along Florida and the East Coast, continue recovery efforts from the reported impacts of Hurricanes Milton and Helene.
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